Sarunas ar profesoriem 2. LOKDAUNI – EPISKA MĒROGA SABIEDRĪBAS VESELĪBAS TRAĢĒDIJA PASAULĒ

  • Fokusētas aizsardzības stratēģija joprojām ir vislabākā pieeja kovidkrīzes risināšanai
  • Lokdauni /Stingrie ierobežojumi ir izraisījuši milzīgu postu sabiedrības veselībai un netiešā veidā veicinās daudzu cilvēku nāvi vēl vairākus gadus uz priekšu
  • Kovidvakcīnas var būt noderīgas senioriem un riska grupu cilvēkiem, kā arī viņu aprūpētājiem, taču nav vajadzīgas visiem: noteikti nav vajadzīgas bērniem un tiem, kas jau dabiskā veidā bijuši inficēti un izveseļojušies.


Mārtins Kuldorfs ir medicīnas profesors Hārvarda universitātes Medicīnas skolā un strādā ka biostatistikas un epidemioloģijas eksperts „Brigham and Womens Hospital” slimnīcā Masačūsetsā, ASV. Profesors Kuldorfs ir viens no trīs drosmīgajiem pasaules vadošo universitāšu zinātniekiem, kas 2020. g. rudenī kā pirmie parakstīja Greitbaringtonas deklarāciju par Fokusētas aizsardzības stratēģiju izejai no kovidkrīzes. Pašlaik deklarāciju parakstījuši jau vairāk kā 30 000 ārstu un medicīnas zinātnieku pasaulē. Mārtins ir zviedrs no universitātes pilsētas Lundas, Zviedrijā un intervijā ar Oliveru Meju (Lockdown Sceptics) nedaudz pieskaras arī situācijai Zviedrijā. Olivers Mejs, savukārt, ir pseidonīms un intervijas autors ir štata žurnālists vienā no vadošajiem britu medijiem pašlaik. Nejautājiet, kāpēc raksti top ar pseidonīmu.


Marta mēneša beigās Hārvardas universitātes profesors Martins Kulldorfs, atbildēja uz jautājumu Twiterī par kovid vakcīnām šādi: „Uzskats, ka jāvakcinē pilnīgi visi , ir no zinātnes viedokļa tikpat kļūdains kā uzskats, ka nevajag vakcinēt nevienu. Kovidvakcīnas ir svarīgas vecāka gadagājuma cilvēkiem un augsta riska grupām, kā arī viņu aprūpētājiem. Tiem, kas iepriekš jau bijuši inficēti, vakcīnas nevajag. Tāpat nevajag bērniem.”

Kas sekoja? Twitters piekarināja izcila profesora tvītam birku „Misleading” – Maldinoša ziņa. Lietotājiem bija liegts komentēt un dalīties ar šo ziņu, ka arī viņiem tika norādīts, ka „veselības speciālisti rekomendē vakcīnas vairumam cilvēku.” Jo, protams, kāda persona Twittera HQ čekotāju birojā zina labāk nekā Hārvardas profesors. Jo tieši tā, Martins Kuldorfs ir augsta ranga medicīnas profesors Hārvarda Universitātē, ar daudzu gadu pieredzi, daudziem zinātniskiem darbiem un H indeksu : 77.

Vēlāk profesors to komentēja šādi: „Tas brīdinājums bija diezgan muļķīgs. Kad mediji nāk klajā ar nezinātniskiem apgalvojumiem, tad žurnālisti bieži atsaucas uz vārdā nenosauktiem mistiskiem „sabiedrības veselības ekspertiem”, „veselības dienestu speciālistiem” utt. Es izaicinu Twitteri tagad nosaukt vārdā vakcīnu jomas epidemiologus, kas uzskata, ka visiem cilvēkiem vajag saņemt covid vakcīnu, ieskaitot bērnus un cilvēkus, kas jau iepriekš dabiski izslimojuši šo infekciju.”

lockdownsceptics.org/we-cannot-afford-to-censor-dissenting-voices-during-a-pandemic-prof-martin-kulldorff/

Atgriežoties pie cenzētā tvīta Twitterī, Prof. Kuldorfs skaidro tālāk: „Tikpat savādi, ka viņi būtībā piebalso manam tvītam, sakot „vairumam cilvēku”, nevis „visiem cilvēkiem”. Pašlaik bērni pilnīgi noteikti nav daļa no „vairuma cilvēku”, jo neviena kovidvakcīna vēl nav saņēmusi autorizāciju izmantošanai šajā vecuma grupā, un nav datu par vakcīnas iespējamo iedarbīgumu un eventuālām bīstamām blakusreakcijām, potējot bērnus. Tā kā vairums bērnu izstaigā kovidu asimptomātiskā veidā vai tikai ar viegliem simptomiem, būs ļoti grūti zinātniski pierādīt, ka vakcīna var vēl vairāk samazināt bērniem šos iespējamos simptomus, hospitalizācijas un nāves risku, jo šādam pētījumam vajadzētu iekļaut ļoti lielu skaitu bērnu valstīs, kur vēl joprojām ir ievērojama šīs slimības izplatība.”

Mārtina Kulldorfa biogrāfija rāda, ka viņš profesionāli strādājis vakcīnu jomā vairākus desmitus gadu. Taču Twitter „savējie” speciālisti var visas pasaules priekšā viņa nelielo tvītu nocenzēt un nosaukt par „Maldinošu”.

„Esmu strādāji vakcīnu jomā pārdesmit gadu garumā, taču Twitter acīmredzot uzskata, ka zinātniskas diskusijas par šīm tēmām ir bīstamas. Varbūt tieši sociālie mediji ir bīstami cilvēkiem varas pozīcijās. Gribētu cerēt, ka sociālie mediji varētu būt bīstami lokdauniem, kas ir aizvadītā gada laikā nodarījuši tik lielu postu sabiedrības veselībai kopumā. Milzīgais lokdaunu radītais netiešais kaitējums sabiedrības veselībai tiek aktīvi dokumentēts vietnē Collateral Global, taču ar šīm sekām mums būs jāturpina dzīvot un mirt vēl daudzus gadus uz priekšu. Tā patiesi ir episku apmēru sabiedrības veselības traģēdija,” profesors Kuldorfs saka šajā intervijā.

Vairāk par to: www.Collateralglobal.org

Nu jau ir zināms, ka lokdaunu izraisīto netiešo kaitējumu sabiedrības veselībai kopumā vēl vairāk iedragājuši masu mediji ar sensacionālām ziņām, draudīgiem virsrakstiem un mērķētiem sižetiem, lai miljonos cilvēku iedvestu nāves bailes, kā dēļ tik daudzi ir baidījušies savlaicīgi vērsties pēc medicīniskas palīdzības, ja vien tas nebija saistīts ar covid.

___
M.Kuldorfs: „Masu mediji bijuši ļoti negribīgi atspoguļot uzticamu zinātnisku un sabiedrības veselības informāciju par šo pandēmiju. Tā vietā tika drukāta un pārraidīta nepārbaudīta informācija, kā piemēram, datormodelētās prognozes no Imperiālās Koledžas, kas, izplatīja nesamērīgas bailes un iedragāja cilvēku paļaušanos uz sabiedrības veselības aizsardzības sistēmu. Mediji arī palīdzējuši reklamēt naivus un neiedarbīgus risinājumus vīrusa izplatības ierobežošanai – kā lokdaunus, maskas un kontaktu izsekošanu.”

___
M.K.: „Kaut es pats būtu vēlējies, lai Lielbritānijā SAGE valdības padomnieku grupa un citi nebūtu iestājušies tik klaji pret ilgā laikā sevi apliecinājušiem sabiedrības veselības principiem, tomēr uzskatu, ka medijiem nevajadzēja šo infromāciju cenzēt. Pandēmijas apstākļos ir vēl jo vairāk svarīgi, lai medij varētu brīvi atspoguļot notiekošo. Tam ir divi galvenie iemesli: 1) Kaut arī līdzīgs citiem koronavīrusa grupas patogēniem, tomēr Sars-cov-2 vīruss ir jauns un mēs pastāvīgi atklājam kaut ko jaunu, tieši tādēļ ir vajadzīgs laiks, līdz varam nonākt pie skaidriem zinātniskiem secinājumiem. Cenzūras apstākļos tas prasīs ilgāku laiku, un to mēs pandēmijas laikā nevaram atļauties. 2) Lai saglabātu iedzīvotāju uzticēšanos valsts veselības sistēmai, ir svarīgi, lai tiktu pausti dažādi viedokļi un domas pandēmijas sakarā, lai to par to varētu būt diskusija un vai nu šīs domas tiktu atspēkotas vai apstiprinātas kā patiesas.”

___
Kuldorfs saka, ka britu valdības un viņu zinātnisko padomnieku pieņemtais risinājums pandēmijai – Anglijā trešais lokdauns – ir „prātam neaptversms”. Sākumā ekspertiem Krisam Vitijam un Patrikam Vallansam bijusi taisnība, bet pēc tam nezin kādēļ viņu uzskati veica pilnu apgriezienu pretējā kustības virzienā.

___
M.Kuldorfs: „ Ceru, ka britu valdība drīz vien mainīs šo kursu, lai novērstu tālākus nevajadzīus zaudējumus no lokdauna, papildus covid-19 izraisītajiem. Patiešām prātam neaptverami, kā Apvienotās Karalistes valdība un zinātniskie padomnieki nevēlas aplūkot sabiedrības veselību plašākā kontekstā. Krisa un Patrika nostāja sākumā, 2020. gada martā bija pareiza, tad viņi runāja par fokusētu riska rupu aizsardzību, neuzliekot destruktīvus ierobežojumus bērniem un jauniem pieaugušajiem. Gribu teikt : Kris un Patrik, pakonsultējieties tagad paši ar savu agrāko versiju, kādi jūs bijāt vienu gadu atpakaļ. To jūs varat lieliski papildināt ar visām pa šo laiku apkopotajām epidemioloģijas zināšanām jūsu valstī, piemēram, no tādiem profesoriem ka Sunetra Gupta un Karls Henegans Oksfordas universitātē vai Ellena Taunzenda Notingemas universitātē, Fransuā Ballū Londonas Universitātes koledžā un Pauls Makkeigs Edinburgas universitātē.”

___
M.K.: „Ap šo laiku jau katram būtu vajadzējis saprast, ka lokdauni, maskas un kontaktu izsekošana nav palīdzējusi pasargāt vecākā gadagājuma cilvēkus ar augstāko risku, tā ka ar šādiem pasākumiem neizdevās apspiest un noturēt zemākā līmenī Covid-19 izplatīšanos, un bija diemžel pārāk daudz nāves gadījumu. Lokdauni bija tikai laika ziņā izstiepts lai būtu kas būtu risinājums. Jau pirms gada tas bija skaidrs daudiem infekcijas slimību epidemiologiem. Lokdaunu apoloētu un pronponētāju galvenā fatāla loģikas kļūda bija apgalvojums MUMS JĀIZSLUDINA LOKDAUNS JO COVID-19 IR BĪSTAMS. Patiesībā, tieši otrādi. Tā kā tā ir bīstama slimība tieši vecāka gadagājuma cilvēkiem, viņus būtu vajadzējis adekvāti pasargāt ar Fokusētas aizsardzības risinājumiem.”

___
M.K.: „Borisam būtu laiks beigt uzklausīt padomus no tiem, kas visu šo laiku ir devuši nepareizos padomus. Un tā vietā ieklausīties tajos, kam bija taisnība. Apvienotajā Karalistē jums ir tā laime, ka jums ir viena no izcilākajiem infekcijas slimību epidemiologiem pasaulē – profesore Sunetra Gupta. Viņa var jums palīdzēt ieviest dzīvē Fokusētas aizsardzības stratēģiju cilvekiem no augsta riska grupām, tai skaitā ar vakcināciju un citiem risinājumiem, paralēli atceļot vispārējos Lokdaunus. Ja premjers vēlētos kompāniju ar līdzīgi domājošiem politiķiem, viņš var sazināties ar Floridas štata gubernatoru Ronu DeSantis.”

Kā zinām, Floridā dzīve atgriezusies atpakaļ gandrīz normālās sliedēs. Nav obligāto masku likumu, brīvības ierobežojumu un pie apvāršņa nerēgojas arī digitālās vakcīnu pases. Taču Lielbritānijā vsimaz pagaidām tas viss turpinās. Tai skaitā nesen Izglītības ministrija paziņojusi, vidusskolu audzēkņiem, atgriežoties skolā pēc Lieldienu brīvdienām, būs jāvalkā maskas. Kā profesors Džejs Batačarja nesen pauda intervijā ar „Lockdown Sceptics”, joprojām ir tikai ļoti vājas, statistiski nenozīmīgas zinātniskas liecības, ka maskas varētu pasargāt valkātāju no infekcijas. Prof.Kuldorfs piekrīt šādam viedoklim.

„Zviedrijā bērniem skolās nav obligāts noteikums valkāt maskas, un skolu audzēkņiem arī nenotiek vispārējā testēšana. Zviedru skolās gan bija prasība bērniem ar simptomiem – piemēram augsta temperatūra vai klepus, palikt mājās un neapmeklēt klātienes stundas, pat ja nav droši zināms, vai tas ir dēļ Covid-19 vai kāda cita vīrusa. Ja skolu vadība uzstāda šādu stingru prasību, tad mierīgi var ļaut bērniem būt bērniem un dzīvot normālu ikdienas dzīvi. Apzināti iedvest sabiedrībā nepamatotas, pārspīlētas bailes ir kaut kas tāds, kas iet pilnīgi pret pamatpostulātiem zinātnē par sabiedrības veselību. Tam ir bijušas dramatiskas negatīvas sekas uz cilvēku fizisko un mentālo veselību. Bērniem vajadzētu dzīvot bezrūpīgi, bez bailēm inficēt citus bērnus, bez bailēm rotaļāties kopā ar citiem, bez bailēm iet uz skolu, piedalīties sportā vai apskauties ar draugiem un vecvecākiem. Bērniem nav jābaidās iziet ārā uz ielas un ieraudzīt citu cilvēku bez maskas uz sejas. Tas ir jāizbeidz tūlīt pat. Punkts.”

___
Pilnu interviju angļu valodā atradīsiet šeit:
lockdownsceptics.org/we-cannot-afford-to-censor-dissenting-voices-during-a-pandemic-prof-martin-kulldorff/


Greitbaringtonas deklarācija, kur skaidrota Fokusētas aizsardzības stratēģija kā risinājums pandēmijai:

www.gbdeclaration.org


Apkopota statistika no visas pasaules, zinātniski pētījumi un analīze par Lokdaunu/Ierobežojumu ietekmi uz sabiedrības veselību:

www.Collateralglobal.org


Pirmā intervija ar Prof.Džeju Batačarju: www.brivibasplatforma.lv/bezsimptomu-cilvekam-risks-parnest-infekciju-minimals-virusa-varianti-parspileti-maskas-skolas-nevajadzigas/


Par Fokusētas aizsardzības stratēģiju un Greitbaringtonas deklarācijas teksts latviešu valodā:
www.brivibasplatforma.lv/fokuseta-aizsardziba-viduscels-starp-lokdauniem-un-lai-notiek-kas-notikdams/

t.me/brivibasplatforma/663

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